Una tribù afghana si impegna a combattere i talebani in cambio di aiuto USA

Afghanistan, guerra, fazioni
Nyt     100128

Una tribù afghana si impegna a combattere i talebani in cambio di aiuto USA

DEXTER FILKINS

+ Le Monde    100128, Hamid Karzai tende la mano ai talebani

●    50 capi della tribù pashtun Shinwari, 400 000 persone nell’Est Afghanistan,

●    hanno dichiarato in una shura che la loro tribù appoggerà il governo filo-americano di Karzai e combatterà tutti i gruppi i ribelli, talebani in particolare (sarebbe questo il primo accordo tra forze occupanti e una intera tribù pashtun contro i talebani);

o   si sono impegnati a bruciare l’abitazione degli afghani che ospitassero guerriglieri talebani,

o   a inviare, nel caso di attacco talebani, nell’esercito o nella polizia afghani almeno un maschio in età di leva per ogni loro famiglia.

o   Nonostante la dichiarazione di fedeltà al governo afghano, i capi tribù hanno anche condannato “ogni attività di corruzione e illegale che minaccia il popolo afghano”.

●    In cambio dell’aiuto i comandanti americani stanziano  $1mn. per progetti di sviluppo a favore dei leader locali tramite la shura, bypassando il corrotto governo centrale afghano.

●    Il patto fa parte della strategia USA del bastone e della carota,

o   e ricorda quanto avvenuto in Irak nel 2006, dove i capi tribali della minoranza sunnita si ribellarono contro al-Qaeda unendosi alle forze USA, il cosiddetto Risveglio sunnita (Sunni Awakening).

– I capi tribù Shinwari denunciano gli attacchi talebani contro la tribù, i loro furti e la requisizione dei giovani per farne dei guerriglieri. La disputa tra i Shinwari e i talebani presenta aspetti economici: diversi shinwari vivono di contrabbando attraverso il confine pachistano, e i talebani avrebbero cercato di sostituirsi ai shinwari in questo contrabbando; in questa disputa si sono inseriti gli americani sostenendo i shinwari con armi, e cibo.

– Un accordo ritenuto fragile, data la facilità storica di cambiamento di fronte da parte nei raggruppamenti afghani, e l’incapacità del governo di proteggere la popolazione dai ricatti talebani.

– Non è neppure chiaro se i capi anziani siano in grado di imporre le proprie decisioni nella tribù, data la fragilità causata nelle strutture sociali da 30 anni di guerra,

– e il fatto che i talebani in alcune aree sono più forti delle stesse tribù, e si sono insinuati nel tessuto stesso delle gerarchie tribali.

– Il governo afghano ha di recente comunicato il proprio piano di riconquistarsi la fiducia dei soldati e dei leader talebani, che proporrà per la ratifica e il finanziamento da parte dei paesi partecipanti alla conferenza int.le di Londra del 28.01.2010; Karzai ha invitato i talebani ad una “Loya Jirga”, Grande Assemblea, degli anziani per discutere su una soluzione politica del conflitto.

o   1. reintegrare i guerriglieri talebani nella società afghana;

o   2. consentire ai loro leader di avere un ruolo politico nel paese.

3. Ai talebani che depongono le armi ed accettano la Costituzione afghana verrà garantito un posto di lavoro e l’amnistia.

Nyt      100128

January 28, 2010

Afghan Tribe Vows to Fight Taliban in Return for U.S. Aid

By DEXTER FILKINS

JALALABAD, Afghanistan —

–   The leaders of one of the largest Pashtun tribes in a Taliban stronghold said Wednesday that they had agreed to support the American-backed government, battle insurgents and burn down the home of any Afghan who harbored Taliban guerrillas.

–   Elders from the Shinwari tribe, which represents about 400,000 people in eastern Afghanistan, also pledged to send at least one military-age male in each family to the Afghan Army or the police in the event of a Taliban attack.

–   In exchange for their support, American commanders agreed to channel $1 million in development projects directly to the tribal leaders and bypass the local Afghan government, which is widely seen as corrupt.

–   “The Taliban have been trying to destroy our tribe, and they are taking money from us, and they are taking our sons to fight,” said Malik Niaz, a Shinwari elder. “If they defy us now, we will defeat them.”

–   The pact appears to be the first in which an entire Pashtun tribe has declared war on Taliban insurgents.

–   But the agreement, though promising, is fragile at best. Afghan loyalties are historically fluid, and in the past the government has been unable to prevent Taliban retaliation. The agreement may also be hard to replicate, since it arose from a specific local dispute and economic tensions with the Taliban.

While the Shinwaris are now united against the Taliban, if payments from the Americans falter or animosities flare with the Afghan government, the tribe could switch back just as quickly.

–   Moreover, it is not clear that the elders, whatever their intentions, will be able to command the loyalties of their own members. After 30 years of incessant warfare, many of the traditional societal networks in this country have been weakened or destroyed.

–   In many places, the Taliban are stronger than the tribes themselves.

Indeed, in the past, Taliban gunmen have killed or threatened tribal leaders who defied them, and the American military and the Afghan government have largely been unable to protect them.

–   Many of the Shinwari elders said Wednesday that they had already received death threats. The brother of one elder, a district governor, has already been killed.

–   The pact is but one plank of a carrot-and-stick strategy toward the Taliban as the United States pours more troops into Afghanistan in the hopes of inflicting setbacks that might make the Taliban more willing to negotiate. While the Americans are rewarding tribes who confront the Taliban, on Thursday the Afghan government is unveiling its latest plan to woo back both Taliban foot soldiers and their leaders.

That plan hopes to compensate for past failures that were underfinanced, lacked the buy-in of allies and did not prevent revenge killings.

–   The new plan has two tracks: to reintegrate Taliban fighters into Afghan society and to allow Taliban leaders to play a political role in Afghanistan, a far more politically charged idea.

–   The Karzai government wants countries attending an international conference in London on Thursday to back its plan and agree to finance it — at least initially.

–   In exchange for laying down arms and agreeing to abide by the Afghan Constitution, Taliban fighters would be guaranteed jobs and an enforceable amnesty.

–   The pact with the Shinwari tribe would complement the reconciliation effort. It echoes a similar phenomenon that unfolded in the Iraq war beginning in late 2006, which ultimately contributed to a substantial drop in violence there. In Iraq, tribal leaders from the country’s Sunni minority rebelled against Al Qaeda of Mesopotamia and joined forces with the Americans. The phenomenon was known as the Sunni Awakening.

–   But no one expects to be able to duplicate the scale of the Iraq effort, because in many parts of Afghanistan the Taliban have not only intimidated or killed local tribal leaders but insinuated themselves into the very fabric of the hierarchies of the tribes.

–   By contrast, in this part of Afghanistan tribal loyalties are strong and the tension between the Shinwaris and the Taliban longstanding. The conflict came to a head last July, when two Shinwari elders — Mr. Niaz and Malik Usman — insisted that a local Taliban commander named Kona stay away from a group of Afghan engineers who were building a dike in their valley. When Kona’s men kidnapped two of the engineers, the Shinwari elders decided they had had enough.

–   In a confrontation that followed, members from the two Shinwari subtribes killed a senior Taliban commander who had come from Pakistan and chased Kona back across the border. After that, Mr. Niaz and Mr. Usman set up a local militia to keep the Taliban out of the valley, called Momand.

“The whole tribe was with me,” Mr. Niaz said in an interview in November. “The Taliban came to kill me, and instead we killed them.”

–   The dispute also had an economic element. Many Shinwaris make their livings by smuggling across the nearby Pakistani border. According to some tribal members, the Taliban had tried to take over the Shinwaris’ business and its smuggling routes.

–   The dispute caught the attention of American Special Forces units, who descended into the Momand Valley on helicopters and offered help to the local Shinwaris. The Americans gave them ammunition and food, they said.

On Wednesday, Mr. Niaz and Mr. Usman said the Special Forces teams had not visited them in many weeks. Nevertheless, they said, they decided to call in the help of the rest of the tribe.

–   For their part, the regular American Army forces in Jalalabad said they were startled by the Shinwaris’ decision. At a tribal council meeting — called a shura — held last week, 50 Shinwari elders decided to declare that the entire tribe would oppose the Taliban.

–   “The shura proclaims that the Shinwari tribe stands unified against all insurgent groups, specifically the Taliban,” the agreement stated.

–   Among other things, the tribal elders declared harsh penalties against Taliban sympathizers, including huge fines and expulsion from the area.

–   “The shura authorizes the burning of residences of those found harboring the Taliban,” the proclamation said.

–   But the Shinwari elders did not merely declare their opposition to the Taliban. Although they declared their allegiance to the Afghan government, they directed at it a nearly equal measure of fury, condemning “all the corruption and illegal activities that threaten the Afghan people.”

–   “We are doing this for ourselves, and ourselves only,” said Hajji Kafta, one of the elders. “We have absolutely no faith in the Afghan government to do anything for us. We don’t trust them at all.”

Sensing opportunity — and wanting the agreement to stick — the American officers decided to bypass the government entirely and pledge $1 million in development aid directly to the Shinwari elders.

–   That method of financing — directly to the shuras — mirrors that of the National Solidarity Program, which has gained much admiration here for the efficient way it has dispensed development aid.

The agreement, struck during a hastily arranged tribal council meeting last week, was reaffirmed Wednesday at a gathering of the Shinwari elders, Afghan officials and American commanders in Jalalabad, the capital of Nangarhar Province. The pact was signed by 50 Shinwari elders, some of whom stamped their thumbs on the document because they cannot read.

Col. Randy George, the senior American officer in the area, said he was encouraged by the recent events. But he was not declaring victory.

“You’ve got to start somewhere,” he said.

Alissa J. Rubin and Sangar Rahimi contributed reporting.

—————-
               
Le Monde       100128

Hamid Karzaï tend la main aux talibans

LEMONDE.FR avec AFP | 28.01.10 | 12h14 • Mis à jour le 28.01.10 | 14h06

–   Le président afghan, Hamid Karzaï, a présenté, jeudi 28 janvier, en ouvrant la conférence de Londres sur l’Afghanistan, son plan de réconciliation avec les talibans. "Nous devons tendre la main à tous nos compatriotes, en particulier à nos frères désabusés qui ne sont pas membres d’Al-Qaida ou d’une autre organisation terroriste", a déclaré M. Karzaï devant des représentants de près de soixante-dix pays.

–   Il a officiellement invité les talibans à une "Loya Jirga" ("grande assemblée") des anciens pour discuter d’un règlement politique du conflit.

–   Le président afghan a, par ailleurs, fait part de son "intention d’assumer progressivement, d’ici à deux ou trois ans, la sécurité dans un plus grand nombre de régions" du pays. Une idée soutenue par le premier ministre britannique, Gordon Brown, qui a annoncé que "le passage du relais district par district va commencer plus tard cette année". Il a confirmé que "la conférence marque le début du processus de transition".

–   Des propos que la secrétaire d’Etat américaine, Hillary Clinton, a tenu à tempérer. "Nous soutenons le plan de transition de l’OTAN, mais il doit être clair (…) que ce n’est pas une stratégie de sortie", a déclaré la chef de la diplomatie américaine. "Il s’agit d’établir les conditions qui permettront aux forces afghanes de prendre la direction en toute sécurité dans une zone donnée", a-t-elle expliqué, en précisant : "Nous continuerons à soutenir nos partenaires afghans pendant la transition."

ENCORE CINQ À QUINZE ANS DE SOUTIEN INTERNATIONAL

–   Le chef du gouvernement britannique n’a pas caché son pessimisme quant à l’avenir du pays. "Nous savons tous que 2009 a été une année difficile en Afghanistan et qu’il y a encore une période difficile devant nous", a-t-il déclaré. M. Brown a rappelé que l’année 2009 avait été la plus meurtrière du conflit entamé à la fin de 2001 et estimé que la guerre avait atteint "un moment décisif". "Chacun des pays représentés ici aujourd’hui, a-t-il souligné, reconnaît que cette mission est vitale pour nos sécurités nationales, la stabilité de cette région cruciale, et la sécurité du monde".

Plus tôt, au cours d’un entretien sur la BBC, le président afghan avait estimé que son pays aurait besoin de l’aide internationale pendant de nombreuses années. "En ce qui concerne l’entraînement et l’équipement des forces de sécurité, cinq à dix ans seront suffisants", a déclaré M. Karzaï sur radio BBC4, avant de préciser que, pour le soutien financier, "la période sera étendue de dix à quinze ans".

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